Valuation model

How undervalued is each token?

Snapshot 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC · market data CoinGecko · fees & buybacks DefiLlama

Tap the i beside any column heading for how it is calculated, why it matters, and how it can mislead. Tap the heading itself to sort.

Composite score

Each component is a percentile rank across the priced universe, not a raw value on an invented scale — so one outlier can't swamp the result, and every component arrives in the same units before weighting. The score is only meaningful within this set: it ranks these tokens against each other, and says nothing about the market as a whole.

Weights — value 20% · quality 16% · buyback 13% · recovery 12% · dilution 11% · moat 11% · innovation 9% · pressure 8%. Missing components are imputed at neutral (50) rather than dropped, and coverage records how much of the score is measured. Moat and innovation are hand-set judgements (data/moat.json, data/innovation.json); every other component is derived from live data.

# Token Score Value Quality Buyback Recovery Dilution Moat Innovation Pressure Coverage
1 Helium HNT 65.7 52 94 50 89 71 41 94 84%
2 Lighter LIT 61.7 59 96 78 4 14 75 89 78 100%
3 Aerodrome AERO 60.9 91 17 100 36 43 86 5 100 100%
4 Pendle PENDLE 59.9 45 22 83 46 57 96 96 67 100%
5 Jupiter JUP 58.9 73 48 89 25 39 93 5 89 100%
6 Berachain BERA 57.5 87 79 54 12 71 59%
7 Maple Finance SYRUP 56.4 64 39 61 21 82 89 25 72 100%
8 Hyperlane HYPER 53.2 100 83 8 32 25 50 68 8 100%
9 Centrifuge CFG 52.9 77 78 8 61 50 61 41 8 100%
10 Reserve Rights RSR 50.2 41 70 56 71 61 32 14 44 100%
11 MegaETH MEGA 50.1 74 68 0 18 86 59%
12 Injective INJ 49.6 26 50 39 96 54 41 50 80%
13 Ether.fi ETHFI 49.5 36 65 67 11 96 46 14 61 100%
14 Ethena ENA 49.1 5 52 50 68 79 80 79%
15 Hyperliquid HYPE 47.8 18 43 72 0 11 100 100 83 100%
16 Sonic S 47.8 0 96 96 12 41 59%
17 Movement MOVE 47.2 100 22 93 29 0 25 22 80%
18 Monad MON 45.3 91 39 7 4 41 80 33 80%
19 Aptos APT 44.8 9 33 86 75 27 50 39 80%
20 Sei SEI 44.0 13 82 71 7 32 59%
21 Osmosis OSMO 43.7 27 57 64 79 21 0 79%
22 Liquity V2 LQTY 43.4 52 4 44 54 86 36 25 56 100%
23 Sui SUI 43.0 30 28 57 21 66 64 28 80%
24 Babylon BABY 39.1 35 8 43 18 57 93 8 80%
25 Jito JTO 33.1 23 61 8 29 46 66 14 8 100%
n/r GEODNET GEOD 50.0 18 32 82 75 43%
n/r Grass GRASS 47.3 14 64 41 61 43%
n/r Aethir ATH 46.4 50 36 27 55 43%
n/r Initia INIT 40.7 50 7 4 55 43%

Every column sorts — click a header to re-rank by that component alone. Rows marked n/r are scored but not ranked: fewer than half their components could be measured, so the score is not comparable to a fully-measured one.

Buyback demand

Holders-revenue is the buyback bid — the protocol converting fees into open-market demand for its own token. Yield is the share of market cap repurchased per year. % of daily volume is the price-pressure term: a small cap buying a large slice of its own daily turnover compounds much harder than the same yield on a deep, liquid name.

Highest buyback yield
Aerodrome  24.6%
$111.1M per year on a $451.2M market cap · 74% of fees routed to holders · absorbs 0.8% of a normal day's volume
Token Mkt cap Buyback/yr Yield % daily vol Days of vol Payout BB growth 30d
Aerodrome AERO $451.2M $111.1M 24.6% 0.78% 2.9 74% -12%
Marinade peer MNDE $10.9M $1.3M 12.1% 3.90% 14.2 2% 28%
GMX peer GMX $76.2M $8.6M 11.3% 0.48% 1.7 27% 6%
Hivemapper peer HONEY $3.9M $397.2K 10.3% 0.78% 2.8 75% -98%
PancakeSwap peer CAKE $544.4M $51.9M 9.5% 0.23% 0.8 20% 178%
Raydium peer RAY $202.1M $16.5M 8.2% 0.22% 0.8 12% 91%
Helium HNT $33.9M $2.7M 8.1% 0.26% 0.9 100%
Renzo peer REZ $25.8M $1.9M 7.5% 0.07% 0.3 11%
dYdX peer DYDX $98.8M $7.2M 7.3% 0.29% 1.1 100% -4%
Jupiter JUP $669.3M $46.2M 6.9% 0.18% 0.7 18% -1%
Curve peer CRV $497.6M $30.4M 6.1% 0.06% 0.2 51% -46%
Lido peer LDO $299.0M $17.7M 5.9% 0.08% 0.3 3% -100%
Pendle PENDLE $284.0M $16.2M 5.7% 0.07% 0.3 79% -16%
Lighter LIT $766.8M $39.9M 5.2% 0.11% 0.4 45% 1%
Sky (Maker) peer SKY $1.5B $71.0M 4.7% 1.20% 4.4 17% 43%
Hyperliquid HYPE $17.6B $739.2M 4.2% 0.14% 0.5 76% -0%
Ether.fi ETHFI $575.6M $12.2M 2.1% 0.03% 0.1 7%
Uniswap peer UNI $2.6B $52.1M 2.0% 0.02% 0.1 6% 88%
Maple Finance SYRUP $223.0M $3.3M 1.5% 0.07% 0.3 3% -32%
Aave peer AAVE $1.9B $24.9M 1.3% 0.01% 0.0 3% -100%
LayerZero peer ZRO $406.5M $4.2M 1.0% 0.01% 0.0 167% -2%
Reserve Rights RSR $88.2M $882.2K 1.0% 0.01% 0.0 15% 70%
Injective INJ $491.3M $4.5M 0.9% 0.01% 0.0 100% -14%
Liquity V2 LQTY $21.3M $114.8K 0.5% 0.01% 0.0 4% 2244%
Ondo peer ONDO $1.7B $7.2M 0.4% 0.01% 0.0 12%
Monad MON $321.8M $1.3M 0.4% 0.00% 0.0 64% 23%
Filecoin peer FIL $612.6M $2.4M 0.4% 0.01% 0.0 100% -47%
Aptos APT $518.5M $1.7M 0.3% 0.00% 0.0 154% -33%
Render peer RENDER $733.3M $2.1M 0.3% 0.01% 0.0 95% -43%
Sui SUI $3.2B $853.4K 0.0% 0.00% 0.0 20% -17%
Movement MOVE $32.5M $2.8K 0.0% 0.00% 0.0 333%

Days of vol = annual buyback expressed in days of current trading volume. Payout = holders-revenue ÷ total fees, i.e. how much of what the protocol earns actually reaches the token.

Full model

Rows tagged peer are benchmark comparables, not picks — Uniswap, Curve, PancakeSwap, Raydium, dYdX, GMX, Lido, Rocket Pool, Sky, Ondo and Aave. They set the sector medians so a multiple is measured against the real competitive field rather than against the rest of this watchlist. They are never scored or ranked.

Drawdown is measured on market cap, not price. Price ATH misleads whenever supply has moved: a token down 85% on price whose float tripled is only down ~55% on the number that actually has to be re-attained. Both columns are shown so the gap between them is visible — where they diverge, dilution is the reason.

The market-cap peak is a 365-day peak, not an all-time one. CoinGecko now gates full history behind a paid plan (days=max returns 401), so the peak column is the best of the last year. The price ATH column IS all-time, which is why a token can show a small drawdown against the 1y peak and a huge one against its ATH. Tokens whose ATH predates the window are marked .
Token Sector Mkt cap FDV Float MC vs 1y peak Px vs ATH ATH cycle To 1y peak Fees/yr Revenue/yr Take P/S Sector P/S Upside to median Rev vs cap share Fee growth 30d BB yield
Hyperliquid HYPE Perp DEX $17.6B $79.2B 22% 0% 4% current cycle 1.0× $972.6M $739.2M 76% 23.8× 12.6× -47% 1.03× -4% 4.2%
Sui SUI L1 $3.2B $7.9B 41% 77% 85% current cycle 4.3× $4.3M $853.4K 20% 3767.4× 582.3× -85% 0.15× -13% 0.0%
Uniswap peer UNI Spot DEX / AMM $2.6B $3.7B 70% 62% 91% 2021 cycle 2.6× $843.8M $67.7M 8% 38.6× 10.0× -74% 0.32× -1% 2.0%
Bittensor peer TAO AI / Compute $2.1B $4.6B 46% 56% 71% current cycle 2.3× 177.9× *
Aave peer AAVE Lending $1.9B $2.0B 96% 65% 81% 2021 cycle 2.8× $829.7M $108.2M 13% 17.7× 37.5× * 112% 1.82× 6% 1.3%
Ondo peer ONDO RWA / Credit $1.7B $3.6B 49% 50% 83% current cycle 2.0× $59.3M $9.0M 15% 193.6× 16.9× -91% 0.36× -4% 0.4%
Aster peer ASTER Perp DEX $1.7B $4.9B 34% 55% 74% current cycle 2.2× $442.5M 12.6× 10%
Sky (Maker) peer SKY Stablecoin / CDP $1.5B $1.5B 100% 27% 36% current cycle 1.4× $408.4M $224.2M 55% 6.8× 38.3× 466% 1.94× -6% 4.7%
Morpho peer MORPHO Lending $1.5B $2.3B 66% 5% 46% current cycle 1.0× $208.5M $0 37.5× * 0.00× 12% 0.0%
Ethena ENA Stablecoin / CDP $1.5B $2.3B 66% 73% 90% current cycle 3.8× $310.7M $5.7M 2% 263.1× 38.3× -85% 0.05× -0%
Lighter LIT Perp DEX $766.8M $3.1B 25% 4% 61% current cycle 1.0× $87.8M $66.2M 75% 11.6× 12.6× 9% 2.12× 33% 5.2%
Render peer RENDER AI / Compute $733.3M $754.1M 97% 65% 90% current cycle 2.9× $2.2M $2.2M 100% 332.7× 177.9× * -47% 0.52× -43% 0.3%
Jupiter JUP Spot DEX / AMM $669.3M $1.4B 48% 62% 90% current cycle 2.6× $263.5M $92.4M 35% 7.2× 10.0× 38% 1.70× -2% 6.9%
Filecoin peer FIL DePIN $612.6M $1.5B 42% 75% 100% 2021 cycle 3.9× $2.4M $2.4M 100% 257.5× 12.4× -95% 0.53× -47% 0.4%
Ether.fi ETHFI Yield / Staking $575.6M $575.6M 100% 39% 93% current cycle 1.6× $182.3M $38.7M 21% 14.9× 13.9× -6% 0.90× 6% 2.1%
PancakeSwap peer CAKE Spot DEX / AMM $544.4M $565.2M 96% 64% 96% 2021 cycle 2.8× $254.0M $82.0M 32% 6.6× 10.0× 50% 1.86× 154% 9.5%
Aptos APT L1 $518.5M $729.9M 71% 87% 97% bear 7.4× $1.1M $1.7M 154% 306.0× 582.3× 90% 1.90× -33% 0.3%
Curve peer CRV Spot DEX / AMM $497.6M $774.2M 64% 61% 98% 2021 cycle 2.5× $59.0M $30.8M 52% 16.1× 10.0× -38% 0.76× 21% 6.1%
Injective INJ L1 $491.3M $491.3M 100% 66% 91% current cycle 2.9× $4.5M $4.5M 100% 109.3× 582.3× 433% 5.33× -14% 0.9%
Aerodrome AERO Spot DEX / AMM $451.2M $903.0M 50% 66% 80% current cycle 2.9× $149.2M $111.1M 74% 4.1× 10.0× 146% 3.04× -18% 24.6%
Virtuals peer VIRTUAL AI / Compute $439.3M $667.8M 66% 64% 87% current cycle 2.7× $19.0M $19.0M 100% 23.1× 177.9× * 670% 7.55× -67% 0.0%
LayerZero peer ZRO Infra $406.5M $1.2B 35% 30% 85% current cycle 1.4× $2.5M $4.2M 167% 96.1× 96.1× 0% 1.58× -16% 1.0%
Celestia peer TIA Infra $349.2M $428.0M 82% 76% 98% current cycle 4.2× $40.9K $0 96.1× 0.00× -35%
Monad MON L1 $321.8M $2.7B 12% 37% 44% current cycle 1.6× $2.1M $1.3M 64% 246.8× 582.3× 136% 2.36× 24% 0.4%
Sei SEI L1 $302.2M $448.8M 67% 86% 96% current cycle 6.9× $102.9K $102.9K 100% 2936.4× 582.3× -80% 0.20× -26%
Lido peer LDO Yield / Staking $299.0M $357.6M 84% 78% 95% 2021 cycle 4.6× $676.3M $37.5M 6% 8.0× 13.9× 74% 1.67× 12% 5.9%
Jito JTO Yield / Staking $298.0M $580.8M 51% 62% 90% bear 2.6× $190.6M $11.9M 6% 25.0× 13.9× -44% 0.53× 4% 0.0%
Pendle PENDLE Yield / Staking $284.0M $464.3M 61% 72% 78% current cycle 3.6× $20.6M $20.0M 97% 14.2× 13.9× -2% 0.94× -16% 5.7%
Maple Finance SYRUP RWA / Credit $223.0M $237.7M 94% 60% 71% current cycle 2.5× $111.1M $14.4M 13% 15.5× 16.9× 9% 4.54× -4% 1.5%
Raydium peer RAY Spot DEX / AMM $202.1M $416.2M 49% 80% 96% 2021 cycle 5.0× $137.5M $20.3M 15% 10.0× 10.0× 0% 1.24× 91% 8.2%
Grass GRASS AI / Compute $195.9M $299.3M 65% 45% 92% current cycle 1.8× 177.9× *
Compound peer COMP Lending $194.4M $194.4M 100% 58% 98% 2021 cycle 2.4× $32.3M $3.4M 11% 57.3× 37.5× * -35% 0.56× 4% 0.0%
Akash peer AKT AI / Compute $157.6M $157.6M 100% 53% 93% 2021 cycle 2.1× $1.9M $0 177.9× * 0.00× 16%
GEODNET GEOD DePIN $104.5M $220.3M 47% 45% 39% current cycle 1.8× 12.4×
Sonic S L1 $101.7M $101.7M 100% 92% 97% current cycle 11.9× $240.7K $216.3K 90% 470.3× 582.3× 24% 1.24× -39%
dYdX peer DYDX Perp DEX $98.8M $111.6M 89% 82% 97% current cycle 5.5× $7.2M $7.2M 100% 13.7× 12.6× -8% 1.80× -4% 7.3%
Aethir ATH AI / Compute $90.8M $189.4M 48% 89% 96% current cycle 8.8× 177.9× *
Reserve Rights RSR Infra $88.2M $141.0M 63% 83% 99% 2021 cycle 5.8× $5.8M $883.2K 15% 99.8× 96.1× -4% 1.52× 7% 1.0%
GMX peer GMX Perp DEX $76.2M $76.2M 100% 59% 92% bear 2.4× $31.9M $11.8M 37% 6.5× 12.6× 96% 3.80× 6% 11.3%
Berachain BERA L1 $55.9M $98.0M 57% 86% 99% current cycle 6.9× $85.4K $80.6K 94% 694.2× 582.3× -16% 0.84× 21%
Babylon BABY Infra $53.1M $134.4M 39% 68% 93% current cycle 3.1× $1.1K $0 96.1× 0.00× -11% 0.0%
Centrifuge CFG RWA / Credit $50.9M $91.1M 56% 77% 67% current cycle 4.4× $59.8M $5.4M 9% 9.4× 16.9× 80% 7.49× 16% 0.0%
Axelar peer AXL Infra $49.9M $50.9M 98% 86% 98% current cycle 7.2× $73.4K $0 96.1× 0.00× 16% 0.0%
MegaETH MEGA L1 $43.9M $389.0M 11% 82% 82% current cycle 5.6× $644.9K 582.3× 8%
Rocket Pool peer RPL Yield / Staking $36.2M $36.2M 100% 79% 97% bear 4.8× $38.5M $0 13.9× 0.00× 63%
Helium HNT DePIN $33.9M $33.9M 100% 93% 100% 2021 cycle 15.0× $2.7M $2.7M 100% 12.4× 12.4× 0% 11.06× 8.1%
Movement MOVE L1 $32.5M $75.0M 43% 91% 99% current cycle 11.4× $836 $836 100% 38882.2× 582.3× -99% 0.01× 763% 0.0%
Osmosis OSMO Spot DEX / AMM $28.3M $35.1M 81% 79% 100% 2021 cycle 4.7× $5.0M $1.6M 32% 17.8× 10.0× -44% 0.69× 3%
Renzo peer REZ Yield / Staking $25.8M $29.1M 89% 45% 99% current cycle 1.8× $16.9M $1.9M 11% 13.6× 13.9× 2% 0.98× 16% 7.5%
Hyperlane HYPER Infra $22.4M $53.5M 42% 64% 90% current cycle 2.8× $1.3M $1.3M 100% 17.8× 96.1× 441% 8.56× 20% 0.0%
Liquity V2 LQTY Stablecoin / CDP $21.3M $21.5M 99% 77% 100% 2021 cycle 4.3× $2.7M $555.7K 20% 38.3× 38.3× 0% 0.34× -34% 0.5%
Clearpool peer CPOOL RWA / Credit $19.2M $19.2M 100% 88% 99% 2021 cycle 8.1× $61.7K $0 16.9× 0.00× 32% 0.0%
Initia INIT L1 $11.0M $53.6M 21% 83% 96% current cycle 5.9× 582.3×
Marinade peer MNDE Yield / Staking $10.9M $13.9M 78% 90% 99% 2021 cycle 9.8× $60.8M $4.5M 7% 2.4× 13.9× 475% 5.52× -5% 12.1%
Hivemapper peer HONEY DePIN $3.9M $3.9M 100% 96% 100% bear 24.5× $529.6K $397.2K 75% 9.7× 12.4× 27% 14.09× -98% 10.3%
Goldfinch peer GFI RWA / Credit $3.4M $4.1M 83% 94% 100% 2021 cycle 16.6× $1.6M $186.9K 12% 18.3× 16.9× -8% 3.83× 74%

Take = protocol revenue ÷ total fees. It matters enormously: for RWA and staking protocols most "fees" are yield belonging to users, so every multiple here is built on revenue, not fees. Rev vs cap share = share of sector revenue earned ÷ share of sector market cap held. Above 1× means the market prices it below what it earns relative to its peers. * marks a sector median drawn from fewer than three priced members — directional only.

Projected revenue

Everything above this point is measured. Everything below it is assumed. These are scenarios, not forecasts — the growth rate that produced each number is shown in the last column so you can audit it. Edit data/assumptions.json to put your own view in, then re-run the projector.

Growth is seeded from trailing 30-day fees, clamped to [-60%, 150%], shrunk — toward the sector median, then decayed 0.60× a year — because no protocol compounds at its current rate forever. Holders-revenue assumes today's payout ratio holds, so a fee switch that changes breaks the projection.

Token Revenue TTM Bear y3 Base y3 Bull y3 Fwd P/S y3 Fwd BB yield y3 Upside vs median Growth y1
Injective INJ $4.5M $6.7M $6.6M $6.0M 74.4× 1.3% 683% 21%
Centrifuge CFG $5.4M $4.5M $18.2M $18.2M 2.8× 503% 78%
Monad MON $1.3M $2.1M $2.1M $2.1M 153.5× 0.7% 279% 27%
Maple Finance SYRUP $14.4M $35.2M $45.8M $80.1M 4.9× 4.7% 247% 74%
Reserve Rights RSR $883.2K $3.7M $2.4M $4.3M 36.6× 2.7% 163% 62%
Hyperlane HYPER $1.3M $591.6K $591.6K $4.5M 37.8× 154% -33%
Aptos APT $1.7M $1.5M $1.6M $1.8M 319.2× 0.3% 82% -2%
Aerodrome AERO $111.1M $60.3M $81.0M $262.9M 5.6× 17.9% 79% -15%
Ether.fi ETHFI $38.7M $87.4M $71.9M $56.2M 8.0× 3.9% 74% 36%
Jupiter JUP $92.4M $50.9M $88.6M $420.1M 7.6× 6.6% 32% -2%
Hyperliquid HYPE $739.2M $1.1B $1.4B $3.0B 12.4× 8.0% 2% 38%
Pendle PENDLE $20.0M $20.7M $17.8M $53.2M 16.0× 5.1% -13% -6%
Lighter LIT $66.2M $36.3M $36.3M $36.3M 21.1× 2.9% -40% -27%
Sonic S $216.3K $94.5K $94.5K $94.5K 1076.9× -46% -36%
Liquity V2 LQTY $555.7K $238.7K $234.7K $218.9K 90.7× 0.2% -58% -37%
Berachain BERA $80.6K $35.2K $35.2K $230.3K 1589.6× -63% -36%
Jito JTO $11.9M $4.3M $5.2M $17.7M 57.3× -76% -36%
Ethena ENA $5.7M $11.1M $4.5M $5.3M 333.4× -89% -12%
Sei SEI $102.9K $50.8K $46.9K $95.7K 6438.1× -91% -34%
Sui SUI $853.4K $327.9K $327.9K $327.9K 9803.5× 0.0% -94% -41%
Movement MOVE $836 $373 $373 $373 87042.1× 0.0% -99% -35%
MegaETH MEGA -6%

Fwd P/F y3 = today's market cap against base-case year-3 fees. Upside vs median = what that forward multiple implies against the sector's current median P/F — re-rating on grown revenue rather than on sentiment. Sorted by that column.

What this does not capture

Forward emissions and unlock schedules are missing. DefiLlama gates its emissions API behind a paid tier (HTTP 402), so the dilution column here is float and FDV overhang only — a static picture. Unlock cliffs for ATH, GRASS, ENA and BABY still need a second source before the dilution read is complete.
Buyback is proxied by holders-revenue. That is exactly right where fees are converted to token on the open market (HYPE's Assistance Fund, sPENDLE), but it also counts fee streams paid in other assets. Treat a high yield as "value reaches holders", and check the mechanism on the detail page before assuming it is literally a bid.
No order-book depth. Turnover (volume ÷ market cap) stands in for liquidity; it does not tell you what a real position costs to fill.
Excluded: Chutes (SN64) — no listed token to price.

Method

Market data: CoinGecko. Fees/revenue/holders-revenue: DefiLlama (annualized1y). Buyback proxied by holders-revenue. Regenerate with python3 tools/fetch_market_data.py && python3 tools/compute_valuation.py && python3 tools/render_valuation.py. Every figure on this page is derived, never hand-entered, so a stale number is a stale snapshot rather than a stale claim.